His thesis is that it is not about:
- cost: it would actually be cheaper to build overseas
- "made in america": there is really no goodwill benefit for a chip maker (unlike clothing for instance)
- transportation cost: there is not much in the way of transportation cost (unlike automobiles)
The issue is production yield – when you first start making chips, some of them, maybe even most of them, don’t work. The trick to make an investment in capacity pay off is to improve yields as fast as possible. And yields don’t improve because of better equipment, but rather because the equipment is used more effectively – engineers and line workers need to find out what particular recipe generates the best yield. Thus, improving yields requires intelligent experimentation, i.e., a skilled workforce. It follows that Intel must believe that a U.S. workforce can improve yields faster than an overseas workforce, fast enough to justify the additional $1 billion in cost. It will be interesting to see how long that U.S. advantage can last.